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Miami Mortgage Rates Report: May 14, 2008

by: Brian.Brady on May 14, 2008 04:28:02     Leave a comment »

Lock all mortgage rates immediately.  This is a stagflation fear we’re seeing:

The central bank can’t be “complacent about inflation,” Janet Yellen, president of the Fed Bank of San Francisco, said in a speech yesterday. Recent measures of consumers’ outlook for prices “highlight the risk that our attempts to deal with problems in the real economy could lead to higher inflation expectations and an erosion of our credibility,” she said.   

Yellen also said she anticipates inflation will slow as the labor market weakens and “commodity prices level off,” echoing comments by other policy makers.   

Investors project the Fed will keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at its next meeting on June 25. That would be the first pause since the central bank started cutting rates in September.           

Rising prices from overseas, reflecting the drop in the dollar, are another source of concern. U.S. businesses have leeway to boost prices as companies abroad charge more.

The mortgage markets will overreact for the next 5-10 days.  Miami mortgage rates should shoot up quickly.




Miami Mortgage Rates Report: May 12, 2008

by: Brian.Brady on May 12, 2008 11:16:00     Leave a comment »

Miami mortgage rates dropped, then rose to their original level, last week.  I’ve been advising Miami mortgage borrowers to lock all rates at application, regardless of closing date.  Did I miss an opportunity to improve clients’ rates?  I don’t think so.  My approach is more one of limiting losses than improving gains and last week, I thought there was a threat of higher mortgage rates in Miami; I still do.

Inflation data are released Wednesday and Unemployment data are due out Thursday.  These figures could be the tempest in the teapot and really affect mortgage rates.  We just think there is too much risk to be floating (holding out for a better rate).  If markets overreact (and they usually do) we’ll change that recommendation but for now, we think it’s prudent to lock your mortgage rates.

Currently, the 5/1 ARM offers the best value at 4.875% wholesale rate.  The 30 year fixed rate loan is 5.875% wholesale rate.  While there is risk in losing the rate after 5 years, most borrowers don’t hold a mortgage that long.  If you are thinking of moving in the next few years, it would be well to examine the benefits of refinancing your home loan to a low 5/1 ARM rate.

Contact me at (858)-777-9751 with more questions.




Real Estate Market Reports for Miami Shores, Bay Harbor Islands, Surfside, Fisher Island, Aventura, Biscayne Park and El Portal

by: Ines.Hegedus-Garcia on May 05, 2008 14:31:29     Leave a comment »

This is a Miami Real Estate Market Report for the months of January, February, March and April 2008. It is obvious that some real estate markets are seeing more movement but others remain quiet. If you are thinking of buying Miami real estate, make sure you work with a Miami Realtor that knows the area and the market fluctuations. If you are selling, May should be a great month right before the slow Summer months.

Miami Shores Real Estate Miami Shores Real Estate Market Report

There are currently 239 listings in Miami Shores: (6 more from last month)

  • Highest priced listing is $2,999,000
  • Lowest priced listing is $199,900
  • Pending Sales (Properties under contract):12
  • Closed sales in 2008: 25 (5 of these in April as opposed to 12 in March)

14 of those 25 sales were under $500,000 and the highest sale was $860,000 at 490 NE 96th Street. And as I said last month, 'this particular house was purchased for $1,508,000 in September 2005¦.talk about a big OUCH for those sellers!!

Bay Harbor Islands Real Estate

Bay Harbor Islands Real Estate Market Report

There are currently 19 single-family home listings in Bay Harbor Islands: (one more from last month)

  • Highest priced listing is $5,200,000
  • Lowest priced listing is $575,000
  • Pending Sales (properties under contract):1
  • Closed sales in 2008: 0

No sales this year in Bay Harbor Islands. That has to be tough for those people that HAVE to move.

Surfside Real Estate Surfside Real Estate Market Report

There are currently 87 single-family home listings in Surfside:(1 less than last month)

  • Highest priced listing is $8,000,000
  • Lowest priced listing is $349,000
  • Pending Sales (properties under contract): 4 (3 more than last month)
  • Closed sales in 2008: 8 (1 of them in April)

7 of those sales were under $600,000 and the highest at $3.2 million of a bayfront home (1356 Biscaya Drive) purchased in 2002 for $2.2 million.

There are currently 239 condo listings in Surfside: (as compared to 231 last month)

  • Highest priced listing: $2,600,000 a 3/3 at Azure
  • Lowest priced listing: $153,000 a 1/1 at Seaside Terrace Condo
  • Pending Sales (properties under contract):10 (1 less than last month)
  • Closed sales in 2008: 12 ( 6 closed sales in the month of April with highest sale at $1,250,000 for a 3/2 at Champlain Towers East and the lowest sale at $173,000 for a 1/1 at 9140 Collins Ave Condo)

I love Surfsides density and the 12 story max allowed on the oceanfront condos. If you dont like high-rises, Surfside may be for you. It also has a great close community with shopping and restaurants as well as Bal Harbour Shops within walking distance.

Fisher Island Real Estate Fisher Island Real Estate Market Report

There are currently 138 listings in Fisher Island: (4 more than last month)

  • Highest priced listing: $30,000,000 for an exclusive Oceanside 5/5.5 home with artwork and all!
  • Lowest priced listing: $275,000 for a 1/1 at Marina Village
  • Pending Sales: 1 (as compared to 2 last month)
  • Closed sales in 2008: 4 (1 closing in April - $750,000 for a 1/1 at Seaside Villas)

Fisher Island is Fisher Island…no explanation needed.

Aventura Real Estate Aventura Real Estate Market Report

There are currently 2237 condo listings in Aventura: (88 less than last month)

  • Highest priced listing: $6,000,000 for a 4/6 at Porto Vita
  • Lowest priced listing: $81,888 for a 1/1 at Biscayne Lake Gardens
  • Pending sales: 182 (compared to 134 last month)
  • Closed sales in 2008: 195 (55 closings in April alone)

The highest closed sale this year in Aventura was at Porto Vita for $3,600,000 and the lowest was $59,000 at Commodore Plaza which is a 55 and over community.

Biscayne Park Real Estate Biscayne Park Real Estate Market Report

There are currently 54 single-family listings in Biscayne Park: (4 less than last month)

  • Highest priced listing $975,000
  • Lowest priced listing $190,000
  • Pending sales (properties under contract):2
  • Closed sales in 2008: 4 (3 sales in April)

The closed sales in Biscayne Park have been $275,000, $300,000, $310,000, $353,000

El Portal Real Estate El Portal Real Estate Market Report

There are 62 listings in El Portal: (1 more than last month)

  • Highest priced listing is $925,000
  • Lowest priced listing $215,000
  • Pending sales (properties under contract):0 (compared to 2 last month)
  • Closed sales in 2008: 1

The only closed sale this year in El Portal was for $259,000 for a 2 bedroom / 2 bathroom house located at 465 NE 89th Street.

**all information obtained from the SouthEast Florida Multiple Listing Service**




Miami Mortgage Rates Report: April 29, 2008

by: Brian.Brady on April 29, 2008 10:53:40     Leave a comment »

No real change in my posture.  I still believe that Miami mortgage rates have room to go lower in the next 30-90 days but I’m advising clients who are closing in less than 17 days to lock. All others can float.

Mortgage-backed securities traders have “baked in” a .25% rate cut from the Fed when they meet tomorrow.  If Bernanke doesn’t cut, mortgage rates will jump quickly.  This week is filled with economic data.  If the data are reported weaker than the estimates, we could see lower mortgage rates in the next week.  The risk of that not happening, in this volatile market, is real so I’m sticking to the recommendation of locking your loans if you are closing before May 15.

Countrywide Financial  reported a a big loss from foreclosures while MasterCard reported huge profits.  While MasterCard doesn’t actually issue the cards (they just make money from transactions), it shows that people are walking away from their mortgages and using credit cards more frequently.  Traders think that Bernanke is fixing the financial crisis in this country but those two events should give you reason to deliberate.  We’re still bouncing around on choppy seas and should be through the end of the year.  I just don’t see Miami mortgage rates above the 6.5% level at all this year.




Miami Mortgage Rates Report: April 21, 2008

by: Brian.Brady on April 21, 2008 21:15:29     Leave a comment »

What a wild week this past one was for Miami mortgage rates.  On April 14, 2008, I advised folks who were closing in the month of April to lock rates; mortgage bonds plummeted from 101 to 99.5.  If you were closing in April and didn’t lock your mortgage rate, it would have cost you about 1.5% in discount points to get that same mortgage rate, on Thursday- that’s $7,500 extra in closing costs for a $500,000 loan!

I also advised that all May closings float. Mortgage bond prices rebounded to 100.5 today; I still think there’s room for upside in the mortgage bond market which means lower mortgage rates.  I don’t have high hopes for the American economy through the summer.  The foreclosures, weak housing prices, and credit crunch have closed the consumer’s “virtual ATM “.  Higher food and fuel prices are starting to take a bite out of the consumers’ budget.  A gallon of gas and a gallon of milk both cost in excess of $4. In past years, a homeowner would suck it up and throw the money on his HELOC.  Now, with HELOCs frozen, the consumer has to tighten his belt.

The consumer drives much of the American economy so his tightened belt means less spending.  That should hurt this economy until we see the banks loosen up a bit.

Will we see lower mortgage rates in May?  I think so but the volatility of the mortgage bonds market still compels me to advise Miami home buyers to lock their mortgage rates for transactions closing within 14 days.  All longer closings should float…for now.